More borrowers with good credit are defaulting on their home loans

Posted by christine | Uncategorized | Wednesday 20 August 2008 6:18 am

“And that’s going to make it even harder for the staggering housing market to recover. According to CNNMONEY.com

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com ) — Prime mortgages are starting to default at disturbingly high rates – a development that threatens to slow any potential housing recovery.

The delinquency rate for prime mortgages worth less than $417,000 was 2.44% in May, compared with 1.38% a year earlier, according to LoanPerformance, a unit of First American (FAF, Fortune 500) CoreLogic that compiles and analyzes residential mortgage statistics.

Delinquencies jumped even more for prime loans of more than $417,000, so-called jumbo loans. They rose to 4.03% of outstanding loans in May, compared with 1.11% a year earlier.

And prime loans issued in 2007 are performing the worst of all, failing at a rate nearly triple that of prime loans issued in 2006, according to LoanPerformance.

“The extent of how bad these loans are doing is very troubling,” said Pat Newport, real estate economist with Global Insight, a forecasting firm.

Washington Mutual (WM, Fortune 500) CEO Kerry Killinger said last month that the bank’s prime loan delinquencies are on the rise. As of June 30, 2.19% of the prime loans issued by WaMu in 2007 were already delinquent, compared with 1.40% of prime loans issued in 2005.

Also last month, JP Morgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) CEO Jaime Dimon called prime mortgage performance “terrible” and suggested that losses connected to prime may triple. For the second quarter, the bank reported net charges of $104 million for prime rate delinquencies, more than double the $50 million recorded three months earlier.

The latest shoe

Prime loans are just the latest class of mortgages to suffer a spike in failure rates. The first lot to go bad was, of course, subprime mortgages, whose problems set the housing meltdown in motion. Next were the Alt-A loans, a class between prime and subprime loans that doesn’t require strict documentation of a borrower’s assets or income.

Now, as prime loans are added to the mix, the resulting foreclosures could haunt the housing market for a long time, according to Global Insight’s Patrick Newport.

“Home prices will drop for quite a while – maybe several years,” he said.

Prices are already off nearly 20% from their 2006 highs, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price index.

And there’s a strong inverse correlation between home prices and defaults, according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors.

“It’s a feedback loop,” he said. “Price declines lead to more defaults, which leads to more price declines.”

More foreclosures will add to an already massive oversupply of homes on the market. Inventories are up to about 11 month’s worth of sales at the current rate.

Indeed, about 2.8% of all homes for sale were vacant as of June 30, according to Census Bureau statistics. That’s up about 50% from three years ago, and near historic highs.

More foreclosures, fewer loans

The failure of prime mortgages will also make it more difficult for new borrowers to find affordable loans – and that will slow sales even more. Lending standards have been tightening for months, but if prime loans start to look risky, lenders will be even more conservative about who gets a mortgage.

About 60% of the loan officers surveyed reported that they tightened lending standards for prime mortgages during the first three months of 2008, according to the April 2008 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices from the Federal Reserve, which is released quarterly.

That number will likely be even higher for the second quarter, according to Mike Larson, a real estate analyst for Weiss Research. “It’s already harder and more expensive to get loans,” he said. “Lenders pull in their horns when things go south.”

While easy credit fueled the housing boom, restricted credit is certainly contributing to the bust.

“Eventually,” said Newport, “time will break the cycle. Pricing will drop enough to attract more buyers, and inventories will decline.”

But there will probably more hard times ahead before markets come back into balance and recovery begins. To top of page

Buyers with good credit & job ? Could that be a good time for you to buy? Any questions? Call this Realtor Gladys at 610-972 3545

Read what CNNMONEY is saying: Beware the $7,500 ‘tax credit’.

Posted by christine | Uncategorized | Wednesday 20 August 2008 6:11 am

My Friends in the Lehigh Valley Real Estates Market Beware, according to CNNMONEY

The housing rescue credit may prod some new homebuyers. But the money must be repaid, and the program probably won’t be enough to jump start housing market.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — Washington policy makers and housing industry insiders hope a new tax credit for first-time home buyers will get the moribund housing market moving again.

But most analysts agree that the program is more of a band-aid than a cure-all for the battered real estate market. What’s more, others are quick to point out that the credit must be repaid, which means it’s actually an interest-free loan that could get some homeowners in trouble.

“It’s one of those things that are more complicated than it seems at first blush, said Allen Fishbein, director of housing and credit policy for the Consumer Federation of America. “Consumers have to make sure they understand the credit thoroughly.

The $7,500 credit is for people buying their first homes, and was passed as part of the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 and signed into law in July. To qualify for the full $7,500, individuals must earn less than $75,000 annually, while couples may earn up to $150,000. Individual buyers with income of up to $95,000 and couples with income up to $170,000 are eligible for a partial credit.

The Senate Finance Committee estimates that about 1.6 million people will use the credit.

The housing industry pushed for the program. “Breaking the log jam of unsold homes is something we are very much behind,” said Richard Dugas, president of builder Pulte Homes, at a news conference to discuss the program. First time home buyers represented about 20% of the market for new homes in 2007.

Realtors are also behind the credit. “[It] will help chip away at inventory levels, stabilize prices and spur [sales] activity,” said Richard A. Smith, CEO of Realogy, the parent company of both Coldwell Banker and Century 21.

The industry has had success with tax credits in the past. In 1975, Congress passed a $2,000 credit for home buyers (about $8,200 in today’s dollars).

“Buyers flocked to market and cleared out a then-record inventory of homes,” said NAHB president Sandy Dunn. But that credit did not have to be repaid.

And the impact should extend beyond first time home buyers, according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors. A boost in demand for starter homes means that those sellers will be able to trade up to bigger, more expensive places, and so on up the chain.

How it works

Buyers who have not owned a home in the past three years can take a tax credit worth 10% of a home’s sale price, up to $7,500, whichever is smaller.

The credit is good for homes closed on after April 9, 2008 and before July 1, 2009, and can be taken on taxes filed during 2008 or 2009. Even buyers who bought a home before the bill passed, but after April 9, can claim the credit.

Unlike tax deductions, which only offset taxes by lowering taxable income, the tax credit is a straight dollar-for-dollar deduction of your tax bill. So a buyer who would ordinarily pay $8,000 in taxes would pay just $500.

It’s also “refundable,” which means if a buyer’s taxes are less than $7,500, the government will send them a check for the difference. For example, if a couple’s income generates a tax bill of $5,000, the government will refund all of that plus $2,500.

Buyers must start paying back the loan within two years, at a rate of no more than $500 a year for 15 years. When the the home is sold, any outstanding balance will be repaid from the profit; if it’s sold at a loss and the difference will be forgiven.

And some argue that mortgage lenders will take the credit into consideration, making it easier for buyers to get a loan.

“[The $7,500 reserve] will make borrowers less likely to fall into default,” said Ken Goldstein, an economist with the Conference Board, since it gives them a nest egg should they run into trouble. Still, that assumes that buyers will sock the $7,500 away rather than spend it.

No cure

Indeed, the credit comes with plenty of caveats from economists and industry analysts.

“It’s not going to provide first-time home buyers with cash up front,” said the Consumer Federation of America’s Allen Fishbein. “You have to apply to get the credit after the fact. There’s a delay before you get the financial advantage.”

And there are concerns that borrowers may treat the credit as a windfall, spending it as if it doesn’t have to be repaid.

“It may appear to be free money,” said Fishbein. “Consumers have to have their eyes open about how this works.”

Other economists caution that while the credit may be helpful, it’s hardly a solution to the crisis.

“It will not turn things around,” said Jared Bernstein, an economist with the Economic Policy Institute. “Given the economy, it will only push a precious few first-time home buyers over the edge right now.”

Plummeting home prices will blunt any impact that the credit may have, according to Nicholas Retsinas, director of the Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. As far as he’s concerned, the market is simply too soft right now for a modest measure like this to make a big difference.

“The challenge right now is as much willingness to buy as affordability,” he said. “The market still has this psychological barrier because people think prices will be lower tomorrow. I don’t think this can overcome that barrier.” To top of page

Home building at 17-year low Nationwide Including The Lehigh Valley

Posted by christine | Uncategorized | Wednesday 20 August 2008 5:55 am

Housing starts and permits both fall sharply in July to levels not seen since 1991 recession.

This Article is a Direct Quote From CNNMoney.com

CNNMoney.com) — Home building fell sharply in July to a 17-year low, according to government readings released Tuesday that offered fresh signs that the battered real estate market has yet to hit bottom.

Housing starts plunged 11% to an annual rate of 965,000 from a revised 1.084 million pace in June, according to the Census Bureau report. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast starts would fall to a rate of 960,000.

Permits – often seen as a sign of builders’ confidence in the housing market – tumbled 17% to an annual rate of 937,000 from a revised 1.138 million in June. Economists had forecast that permits would come in at 959,000.

The sharp percentage drop from June was due partly to a jump in multi-family home starts and permits during that month. Single-family home starts and permits slipped only slightly from the June level. But the single-family starts were also at a 17-year low in July, while single-family permits fell to a level not seen since the 1982 recession, reaching a rate of only 584,000 homes in July.

The sharp fall in building activity suggests that home building will continue to be a drag on the economy in the second half of 2008. Earlier this year, many economists hoped that building activity would bottom out this summer and start to show signs of improvement.

In the second quarter, the drop in home building took 0.6 percentage points off gross domestic product, the broad measure of the nation’s economic activity. It marked the 10th straight quarter that home building has been a drag on GDP.

But the continued drop in building could be just what the battered real estate market needs. One of the biggest problem for sellers is a glut of unsold homes on the market. Since demand for homes remains weak, the glut will only ease if fewer new homes are built.

In June, builders faced a median wait of 8.4 months to sell a completed home, the longest delay in selling time in 25 years, according to a separate Census Bureau report issued recently.

David Seiders, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders, says he’s hopeful the historically low levels of single-family permits is a sign that the glut of homes on the market could finally start to decline.

Seiders said he’s hopeful that the market for new homes will hit bottom in late 2008 or early 2009. But he added that his forecast could prove optimistic given other problems, such as rising job losses and the credit crunch. And the continuing rise in foreclosures adds to the glut of homes available for sale, particularly in markets such as California and Florida.

“We’re dealing with a weakening economy in the second half of this year, and early ‘09 doesn’t look that great either,” Seiders said. “We don’t have any numbers that really show stabilization in the housing market yet.”

The government report on housing starts and permits comes the day after a survey of builder confidence by the National Association of Home Builders remained at a record low in August. Only 5% of builders said the current market is good, 8% said they expected a favorable market in the next six months and fewer than 2% said they were seeing strong traffic from potential buyers.

The downturn in housing and building has hammered the results of most of the nation’s major builders. Late last month Centex (CTX, Fortune 500), which is the No. 2 builder by revenue, reported a larger-than-expected loss and warned it was seeing no improvement in the home building market.

Most builders have reported larger than expected losses, although Pulte Home (PHM, Fortune 500), the largest builder by revenue, did slightly better than forecasts. Only one major builder, NVR (NVR, Fortune 500), has reported a profit through the current downturn, although its earnings have plunged.

As a group, the revenue of the nation’s eight largest home builders has plunged 37% over the last year. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters are forecasting another 36% drop in revenue over the course of the next 12 months. To top of page

The Lehigh Valley is losing a Giant Employer, Mack Trucks

Posted by christine | Uncategorized | Tuesday 19 August 2008 7:13 am

A longterm Giant, of the Lehigh Valley, and in the world, Mack Trucks in Allentown since 1905, is relocating to Greensboro North Carolina. Where it’s Mother Company, Volvo of Sweden has established successful headquarters’ roots.

This move although heavily “costing” to many Lehigh Valley individuals , businesses & Local Real Estates, is by design, to improve the company’s effectiveness and competitiveness. 

According to it’s CEO, “the company’s restructuring, beginning later on this year and continuing through 2010, will result in 493 new jobs paying an average salary of more than $73,800.00 in addition to health and insurance benefits”

The company sold 9 percent of the heavy truck market. And employed  4,241 people.

Most likely, Mack Trucks will take up space on the Volvo Trucks campus near Piedmont Triad International Airport initially.

Some interesting releases from NC say that “For each year the company meets required performance targets, the state will provide a Job Development Investment Grant equal to 60 percent of the state personal income  taxes resulting from the creation of new jobs. Should the company create the jobs called for under the agreement and sustain them for nine years, the agreement could yield as much as $8.5 million in maximum benefits for Mack Trucks.”

Mack is a Welcome Success to North Carolina and a Sad Loss to the Lehigh Valley, specifically Allentown.

Relocating?Why do I recommend to rent for 6 months before buying

Posted by christine | Uncategorized | Tuesday 19 August 2008 6:31 am

 I Personally, encourage any person relocating to an “unknown Area” to them, either into or out of the Greater Lehigh Valley Area, to check out locations that accept month to month leases. Move there, check the neighborhoods more thoroughly. People, safety, schools, entertainments, noise, polution etc…

It does not matter what y & Z tells you about the Area, it is ultimately your decision as to where you and your family would enjoy living.

Buying a home is a Big Investment; it also is a Longterm Commitment. Please be careful not to delve into a very serious mistake, basing the foundation of your move on someone else’s experience.

Ironically, on a smaller scale, I also discourage people from rushing into hanging pictures paintings and photos, on the walls. Live in the house for a month and two before you make a decision to start digging holes in the walls and ruining your paint. Make sure that the location is exactly where, you want everything to go.

Patience is a Rewarding Virtue. Good luck.

Please contact this Realtor: Gladys with any Questions or Comments.

What You Need To Know To Keep Your Lawn Healthy

Posted by christine | Uncategorized | Monday 18 August 2008 8:03 pm

How to win the battle against lawn disease. This Article is written by:                              JOE PROVEY AND KRIS ROBINSON, from Popular Mechanics“Good Care Practices

To keep your lawn from becoming a host, choose the right grass for a given location and keep it healthy. Given the wide range of cultivars (cultivated varieties) available today, you have a good chance of avoiding certain diseases right from the start.

Well-aerated lawns with good drainage and air circulation will experience fewer moisture problems that invite disease. Avoid frequent, light waterings that encourage shallow root growth and drought stress. Watering late in the day leaves a wet grass canopy that’s conducive to fungal growth, and excessive use of high-nitrogen fertilizer promotes lush top growth that’s more prone to disease. Using a dull mower blade shreds grass tips, providing an entry point for infection.

The best time to assess your turf’s state of health is before mowing. Take notice of any areas that appear wilted or off-color, but keep in mind that these problems can be caused by things other than disease. A general browning out of cool-season grass during summer is most likely a result of its own protective response to drought and heat. Dull, wilted, bluish-gray turf may simply be a sign that it’s time for watering, and general yellowing and stunted growth may be due to a lack of iron or nitrogen.

Regular observation of your lawn is important if you want to catch early disease symptoms before they disappear. Look for spots or banding, color changes, or signs of decay on grass blades. Give the grass a tug to check for rot. Finally, come out early in the morning while the lawn is damp with dew to look for signs of fungal mycelium – fine, cobweb-like threads that will disappear with the day’s heat and sun. If you’re stumped by symptoms, take a sample to a reputable nursery, or consult your nearest Cooperative Extension Service agent or state university plant-pathology department.

When disease does get a foothold in your lawn you need to take immediate steps to contain it. Bag your lawn clippings and don’t put them in your compost pile. Avoid walking through infected turf, especially when it’s wet.

In addition to controlling disease through cultivar choices and environmental strategies, research has shown that microorganisms in organic composts can help in certain cases. Recommended sources for such top-dressings are composted manure, sludge (such as Milorganite) or agricultural waste. These materials are often available at garden centers.

If your disease symptoms continue unabated, you may benefit from applying a fungicide. However, while fungicides clear up certain problems, they may set up your turf for the development of new ones. This is caused by the fungicide killing off disease-suppressing microorganisms as well as the targeted organisms.”

Why chose Gladys when you look for Lehigh Valley Real Estate?

Posted by christine | Uncategorized | Saturday 16 August 2008 9:37 pm

Gladys has been involved with The Lehigh Valley as a Resident, Business Owner, an Active member of the Business Community, Civic and Social Organizations for 37 years. She cares for and knows The Lehigh Valley that she calls Home extremely well. Lived in Palmer Twp, Easton, Allentown, Macungie, now in  Schuylkill County.

In Addition to the Lehigh and Northampton Counties, Gladys has done Business in the Poconos, Berks County, Schuylkill County etc.

The following are some of her traits, that her current & past clients believe about her.

1) Trustworthy Negotiator: Negotiating, is one of her Fundamental Business skills
& as is problem- solving. She  reaches the objectives 99 times out of a 100.
2) Reliable: She  Will call you as soon as you need her, and she’ll do the work Diligently.
Her cell Number is Published , and with her,24/7.
3) Vigilant: Watchful, Alert to When, Where & what is her client’s Best Interest.

4)Honest : She Say it as it is….Transparent…Genuine to the core, through and through.
5) Caring : The client’s interest is always her # 1.
She works for you as for herself and as she says as for “her Mother”.
6) Responsible: She Does what she promises and always more.
7) Professional: Right to the point, Respectful of her client’s Interest and Needs.
8)Successful: Years of Proven professional & successful record! No tripping and falling with your case.
9) Environmentally conscious: She Respects Nature and the environment, & everyone’s co-exsistence.
10) Patient: One of her Best Virtues. She’ll look at as many homes as you need to, so you can
finally find that place you like to call Home.

Should you be from Generation X,Y, baby boomers, she understands your needs.
She will Negotiate on your behalf, diligently, with Integrity, Caring and Sensibility.

Call Gladys for your Real Estate’s Needs, you will never regret it. She Cares about you. She’ll  give you 100% Energy everytime.  She’s The one who has Character, Integrity, Honesty and Dedication.
A Professional Business person, a well rounded Multi-Cultural who understands where You are coming from….
Contact Her and you will be convinced that She is the Realtor for you.
This is the time to take advantage of the low home prices and the abundance of available ones, as well as the low interest rates, and make your move to improve your current living situation.

                     “Every Client of mine is a Million Dollar Client.” GMW

Buying a Home in Today’s Economy a Good Idea?

Posted by christine | Uncategorized | Saturday 16 August 2008 9:05 pm

According to the National Association of Home Builders.

“As a long term investment, homeownership is still one of the best investments for individual households.

 “Why” you may ask? After all, the headlines say the housing market is down and out, with defaults rising at an alarming rate, and mortgage markets so frozen that buyers can’t get a home loan at any price.

 

What buyers need to realize is that housing markets, like all markets, inevitably have their ups and downs. And homeownership has a track record that is virtually unmatched by any other purchase in terms of its real benefits.

 

Despite the turmoil in mortgage lending, if you have good credit, a job and steady income, you will find there is still plenty of mortgage credit to be had at good rates. For well-qualified buyers, rates are running at near historical lows.

 

Homeownership’s Real Value

 

Here are a few examples of why, dollar for dollar, homeownership is a solid stepping stone to a future of financial security and the single largest creator of wealth for many Americans.

 

Over the long-term real estate has consistently appreciated, even through periodic adjustments in local markets in response to economic conditions. On a national

level, home appreciation has historically increased 5-6 percent annually, report economists at the National Association of Home Builders.

 

Five percent may not seem much at first, but here’s an example that will put it into perspective: Say you put 10 percent down on a $200,000 house, for an investment of $20,000. At a 5 percent annual appreciation rate, that $200,000 home would increase in value $10,000 during the first year. Earning $10,000 on an investment of $20,000 is an extraordinary 50 percent annual return.

 

In contrast, putting that $20,000 down payment into the stock market and getting a 5 percent gain would only yield a $1,000 profit.

 

Compared to Stocks

 

Looking at it another way, over a longer period of time, if someone put $10,000 into the stock market in 1996, the average annual S&P return would make that investment worth $21,500 today—an increase of $11,500. The median home price in 1996 was $140,000.

Today, that same home would have gained nearly $100,000 in value.

 

Don’t miss out on the benefits of homeownership.”

Buy Or Rent ? What is the Correct Choice?

Posted by christine | Uncategorized | Friday 15 August 2008 9:10 pm

Buy or rent?

So, should you join the house party or be content to rent?

Two big factors in the equation: How long you plan to stay put and how much you expect your home to appreciate.

You typically need to stay in a home at least three years to recoup your costs. But consumer advocate Clark Howard says five years is even better, because you never know how the real estate market will fare. To protect yourself, assume your home will appreciate at the rate of inflation or a little more, says Howard.

And you may need to stay longer to come out ahead compared to renting. On the condos I priced in the San Francisco area, I would have had to keep one for at least 13 years in order to save money versus renting for the same period of time (assuming a rate of appreciation in line with inflation). Of course many people buy with the hope that prices will appreciate fast enough to pay off sooner, but that’s a gamble, especially with many economists — including Alan Greenspan — warning that growth can’t continue at its current pace forever.

Even if you plan to stick around long enough for the purchase to pay off, that doesn’t mean squat if you can’t afford to pay the bills. Your monthly house payment — including principal, interest, taxes and insurance — should consume no more than 33% of your monthly gross income. Your total debt payments, including your credit cards and student loans, should remain below 38% of your total pay.

Also, do you have enough cash for a down payment? Typically, you need 20% of the purchase price to avoid paying extra for private mortgage insurance. That’s $40,000 for a $200,000 home. And don’t forget closing costs, which can add up to 3% to 6% of the purchase price.

Bottom line: Buy a house because it’s the right move for your situation and finances. Don’t let the fear of missing out on big gains drive you to a decision you may regret later.

If you find that buying is the better bargain and makes more sense for you.

Any questions? Please call this Realtor, Gladys Wehbe at 610-972 3545 

How to Keep Your CREDIT SCORE HIGH

Posted by christine | Uncategorized | Friday 15 August 2008 11:36 am

Whether you are trying to get a business or real estate loan, looking to buy equipment for your business, or trying to lease a computer or auto, your credit score or “FICO” is very important. Having a high score will allow you to get loans of all kinds much faster. It will help you to get a lower rate of interest on the loans you want and it will allow you to receive faster service from the lenders you contact. It’s important to keep your credit score high and there are steps you can take to insure that your credit score is as high as possible.

If you are a business owner, you may be using credit card lines of credit to finance your business or real estate deals. If you are doing this or plan to it’s even more important that you pay attention to your credit score.

One way you can keep your credit score high is to pay off all credit card debt on time or, if possible, ahead of time. By never being late with your monthly payment you can raise your credit score by 15 to 20 points. Also make sure all loan payments for personal, mortgage, car, home equity loans are made on time and for the full amount due. Just by being late on one or more loans can cost you as much as 100 points from your credit score.

If you use credit cards, make sure that you don’t have more than four open accounts. Having more than four credit card accounts can reduce your credit score by 10 or more points. The reason for this is that credit card issuers are afraid that people with a large number of cards are more likely to run up more debt than they are able to pay back.

If you are seeking a loan, make sure you do not allow a credit report to be run on you until a competent Loan Officer at the lender assures you that chances are good that you will be approved for the loan and you are certain that you will be going ahead with the loan application from that lender. Having multiple credit reports run on your account can cause your credit score to go down.

If you are planning several large purchases, like a home, car and furniture, stagger your purchases. Getting a larger number of loans in a short time period can negatively affect your credit score by 10 points or more.

Also, look into making deals with private lenders. Such deals may not be recorded in public records and therefore won’t affect you credit score.

So what’s a good credit score? You should aim for a credit score of 750. Once there you should do what you can to keep it there. Remember, it’s always important to pay your creditors on time every month. Don’t borrow more than you need to and make sure you pay your creditors back according to the agreement you have with them.

To sum up, your credit score is important and you need to take action to make sure that you will be able to borrow money when you need it. If you currently have a low credit score don’t be discouraged. Take action. Start doing the things that will cause your credit score to improve. Be consistent and before you know it you will have better credit.

Thank you Michael Russell
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